Signing you in

Jesus Sanchez has been raking against righties, and that success will continue against Chris Bassitt.

Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jesus Sanchez (12) celebrates after hitting a grand slam. UPDATE: Added another player prop It may be a super small slate, but with games rolling all day long, there are still plenty of ways to keep the vibes high from your lunch break all the way through dinner.

My favorite MLB props target the Blue Jays vs. Orioles game, with two props that stand out on tonight's board.

Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Jesus Sanchez has been on a tear lately, posting a .433 wOBA and 44.44% barrel rate over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers.

This evening, he draws Baltimore Orioles veteran right-hander Chris Bassitt, who has a poorly rated average-hitter matchup wOBA and strikeout percentage, per Batters-Box.

Left-handed hitters have given the veteran some trouble recently, as they are producing a 42.9% hard contact rate, 26.2% line drive rate, and 38.1% fly ball rate over the last 60 batters faced.

These lefties are making a ton of hard contact and consistently elevating the baseball. They also own a .352 xBA, .533 xSLG, and .334 xwOBA during that span.

With Sanchez carrying nearly 75% arsenal coverage against Bassitt's offerings, combined with how well he has been seeing the ball and how often the veteran right-hander has been allowing lefties to mash, this feels like a great spot for him to have a ton of success.

Despite being a little chilly over his last few games, Taylor Ward is in a great spot this evening against veteran left-hander Patrick Corbin.

Against southpaws at home this season, Ward has done an excellent job elevating the baseball, posting just a 28% ground ball rate. On top of that, he owns a .409 OBP, .355 wOBA, and 125 wRC+ against lefties this season.

I mentioned Ward has been a bit cold over his last 10 games, but the underlying metrics still look fantastic. During that stretch, he is producing 46.1% hard contact, a 50% fly ball rate, and a 38.5% line drive rate.

Against Corbin, he also owns 80.8% arsenal coverage, per Batters-Box. The veteran left-hander features five pitches in his arsenal, and 57% of those offerings grade below league average, according to FanGraphs.

Corbin has also struggled recently against right-handed hitters. Over the last 60 batters he has faced, the 36-year-old has allowed 47.8% hard contact while producing just a 34.8% ground ball rate.

Opposing hitters also own a .354 xBA, .608 xSLG, and .343 xwOBA during that span.

I believe Ward is due for a bounce-back performance, and this feels like a great spot for the veteran outfielder to get rolling again. We are getting a great price on his total bases prop, and do not be afraid to sprinkle on his home run line, hovering around 5/1.

One of the most exciting pitchers to watch through the early part of the season has easily been Davis Martin, the pride and joy of the Chicago White Sox starting rotation.

The 29-year-old has been wheeling and dealing all season long, averaging 6.6 strikeouts per game, while averaging 7.25 at home. Over his last five starts, he owns a 32.5% strikeout rate, along with a 32.7% whiff rate and a 17% swinging strike rate.

He draws a Minnesota Twins offense that has been a bit swing-happy on the road, owning a 24.9% strikeout rate, the fifth-highest mark in baseball.

Their lineup features five hitters with at least a 23.3% strikeout rate over their last 30 road plate appearances. Zoom in a little more, and three of them own at least a 30% strikeout rate during that stretch.

The power of friendship is extremely strong in that White Sox clubhouse, and I expect Martin to help lead this team to another series win while cashing this prop. I would take this down to -110. Anything lower than that, try to find plus money if possible.

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball.

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident.

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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